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Post by John Bolduc on Feb 11, 2015 18:37:07 GMT
So as not to lose these thoughts, here are some questions and comments:
- Re climate projections, when one zooms into a locality, is the climate data at regional scale or further refined? We have found in our work in Cambridge that we cannot really use regional projections.
- For SLR-storm surge assessment, past bathtub modeling and tools like Surging Seas do not provide our community with accurate information. For instance, the past efforts have not taken into account the effect of dams (we are upstream of two dams). Those tools might be more useful to communities directly on the shore or downstream of dams. We also find that the operations of the dams is a key variable.
- It seems like you would want to highlight energy and transportation infrastructure in the way you highlight food supply. We saw what happens when energy systems fail and cause cascading effects. This week we see in the Boston area what happens when transportation systems fail. These are regional systems and need to be looked at that way. These systems are vital in urban areas, where population is concentrated.
- It might be useful to be able to see historic trend data side by side with climate projections. Observed trends can provide strong justification for taking action. Projections are needed to plan for the future.
- If you don't already, I think the site is going to need to be very clear about the uncertainties and limitations of the climate projections. The projections should probably be used to create planning scenarios that help communities identify vulnerabilities. They should not be seen as predictions of the future. Projected changes in precipitation appears to be particularly fraught with uncertainty.
- Projections on precipitation are useful, but they have to be run thru hydrologic modeling, both riverine and storm water system, to reveal changes in flooding patterns. In Cambridge we are using changes in the 10 and 100 year 24 hour storms of 15 to 30% and modeling those. We have also had to take into account pumping at the dams which have a profound influence on flooding levels.
- I should probably wait to dig in more on the tool, but it strikes me that the tool is very useful to educate decisionmakers and get them to decide to undertake vulnerability assessments and plan actions. To do local planning, communities need very granular information which probably they can only develop themselves for the most part.
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Post by David Herring on Feb 11, 2015 19:14:52 GMT
Great points, John! I will consider them further and discuss them with my team in terms of things we are planning, or might do in the future, that may address some of your points. Let's follow up...
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rob
New Member
Posts: 4 
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Post by rob on Feb 24, 2015 3:40:52 GMT
John -
These are excellent points. Thank you for taking the time to make them.
Rob Graff
DVRPC
(and former Cambridge resident)
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sue
New Member
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Post by sue on Mar 6, 2015 18:08:58 GMT
Even though I only got to watch the recording, I thought the webinar did a fine job of introducing the participants and of going over the tool and how it came about. There are so many tools out there that it is a bit overwhelming to try them all. I am glad I agreed to give this one a try. Thanks!
Sue
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